SASKATCHEWAN SHIFTING TOWARDS MORE BALANCED CONDITIONS
May 3, 2023
Saskatchewan reported 1,216 sales in April, down 21 per cent year-over-year and slightly below long-term, 10-year averages. Aligning with seasonal trends, sales and new listings trended up above levels seen earlier this year. Although inventory levels experienced a 4 per cent year-over-year decline and remain over 30 per cent below 10-year trends, the adjustments in sales and new listings have resulted in the months of supply rising to nearly five months.
“Our market continues to struggle with supply and has since the start of the pandemic,” said Association CEO, Chris Guérette. “While inventory challenges remain a concern for us, recent trends are pointing to potential supply relief. Should these trends persist, we may see more balanced conditions play out in the market in the second half of the year.”
The provincial benchmark price reached $323,600 in April, up from $321,400 in March and slightly below prices recorded last April.
“As province-wide figures are showing signs of more balanced conditions, it’s important to keep in mind that there is variation depending on location and price range. Conditions remain exceptionally tight in lower-priced products, while more balanced conditions exist in higher price ranges,” said Guérette. “Higher lending rates have driven more purchasers to seek out lower priced options, while it is proving more difficult for existing homeowners to move up in the market.
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Both sales and inventory trends varied across different regions of the province in April. Year-to-date sales levels improved in Melfort, Prince Albert, North Battleford, Yorkton, and Weyburn. Additionally, inventory levels improved over previous months across all regions except Humboldt and Weyburn. That said, most regions are still reporting inventory levels lower than the previous year and below long-term, 10-year averages.
Overall, when considering both sales and inventory levels, some regions of the province are not seeing a shift toward more balanced conditions. Melfort, Prince Albert, Yorkton, and Meadow Lake reported further tightening compared to levels reported last year.
Benchmark prices varied across different regions of the province in April. All regions except Prince Albert and Swift Current posted stable to modest gains in benchmark price when compared to the month prior.
City of Regina
Year-over-year sales activity in Regina slowed for the fourth consecutive month. Despite the decline, sales levels are only slightly below long-term, 10-year averages. Inventory levels remain over 25 per cent below long-term averages, while the months of supply increased to 3.43, up from 2.96 in March.
Regina reported a benchmark price of $311,200 in April, up from $307,100 in March and nearly 5 per cent lower than April 2022.
City of Saskatoon
The City of Saskatoon reported declining year-over-year sales for the fourth consecutive month. However, sales levels remain slightly above long-term, 10-year trends. Inventory challenges persist in Saskatoon, with supply levels nearly 37 per cent below 10-year averages, the lowest levels reported in April since 2008.
Saskatoon reported a benchmark price of $375,600 in April, slightly down from $376,300 in March and 1.4 per cent higher than April 2022.
Source - SRA